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부동산충격이 소비에 미치는 영향: 패널 자료를 중심으로

The Effect of Real Estate Shock on Consumption: Evidence from Panel Data

초록/요약

According to full consumption insurance hypothesis, individual consumption responds to aggregate shock but not to idiosyncratic shock. Thus, this study tests the implications of full consumption insurance by estimating the effect of real estate shock on consumption. This study involves regressing the change in household consumption onto the change in aggregate consumption and other right-hand-side variables such as the change in household income from immovables and change in real estate prices by using the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(KLIPS) from 2009 to 2018. Empirical results are as follows. First, there are some positive correlations between real estate income and the consumption of Korea’s households, while also having negative correlations between real estate prices and consumption. Second, real estate income affects more various types of consumption for older householders. Also, unlike younger households, there are positive correlations between real estate prices and the consumption among the age group 65 and above. This result is consistent with heterogeneity in the wealth effect among age categories.

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