초록/요약

This study analyzed coping strategies that subscribers can take, assuming the situation in which housing prices surge after their joining the reverse mortgage loan program. In the analysis of the net present value, it was found that the termination (and rejoining)strategy after 3 years was advantageous when the rate of increase in house prices was more than 20%. When the rate of increase in housing prices is more than 20%, for both termination strategies the homepension amount increases significantly compared to the maintaining strategy while the expected inheritance amount decreases significantly. In the analysis of expected utility, it was found that if housing price increases more than 20%, then the termination strategiesbecame more advantageous than the maintaining strategy. If preferential subscription is possible due to low house price such as 100 million won or the subscription starting age is low, then the termination strategy became more advantageous.Also, the shorter the subscription period and the lower the inheritance strength, the more advantageous the termination strategy. Lastly, when the rate of increase in housing prices in the future was very low (-1～1%) or very high (3～4%), the termination strategy was more advantageous. In the end, it was found that the optimal strategy to be selected depends on the subscriber's preference such as the strength of inheritance motive, and various conditions such as housing price, subscription age, and subscription period.